Is Obama Inevitable?
As nominee, I think so. Conventional wisdom (aka Tim Russert) says its over.
As President, I think McCain has the edge, but not a big one.
In most years an experienced GOP moderate would trounce a far-left inexperienced Democrat, but this is not most years. What do you think?
UPDATE: Kos thinks Texas is competitive for Obama. He's nuts, but the polling generation gap is real.
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Obama campaign is a hoax: How many millions fell for the faked Fairy Tale Obama campaign of "change", when in fact it was a plagiarized campaign from Deval Patrick. It won Patrick the Mass. governor's race, but now he is hated there because he was in it for himself and can't deliver on his faked-up promises.
Obama is just an inexperienced junior Senator with no accomplishments and no real experience who just looks shinier because he's not been in DC long enough to have a record. Plus he's got that race-based appeal going - guilty liberal white voting for him to 'make history'. Affirmative action voting (and if you dont like it, you must be 'racist'; oh, and if you say anything bad about Obama's character, like maybe he's been completely dishonest about the whole Rev Wright thing, well that's racist too.) If he was white, the idea of this back-bencher with a thin resume beating out the rest of pack would be laughed at. (oh, but saying that, like Ferraro did, even if its demonstrably true, is 'racist').
It's all a big fat hoax ... he bashes the other side while calling for 'new politics'. He gives us the same-old failed policies and calls it "change". If its change you want, defeat the Democrat incumbent majority in the Congress! They are failures and are hurting this country.
All you Obama supporters need to answer one question:
GOT HYPED?
From KOS, a liberal Texan speaks:
I am active in Texas politics - a permanent precinct chair in the DFW area who led our precinct caucus and was delegation chair to our Senate District convention. I'll be an Obama Delegate at the upcoming Democratic Party State Convention in early June.
We can turn Texas blue again. Anyone who thinks we can't is missing the boat. They keys will be 1) Obama at the top of the ticket and 2) a united Democratic party. Obama has broader appeal in Texas than Hillary does, and high voter turnout will be key.
McCain does not have deep GOP support here. Most Republicans will likely turn out and vote for him, but they are not happy and they are not generally enthusiastic about McCain. The most conservative among them are just as likely to stay home and not vote.
The press has missed most of the story in Texas thus far this election year. I've read nothing in the press anywhere about how deeply divided the Republican County and Senate District Conventions have been. In our local District, even with McCain as the presumptive nominee of the party, he just barely pulled enough delegate vote to win local endorsement. I live in an almost entirely Republican neighborhood, and I know from talking to my neighbors and the people I attend church with that they are not happy at all. Most believe that the Democrats will win, and most that I talk to believe that Barack Obama will be the next President.
I personally believe that Barack will do better here than Hillary, for many reasons. One is his ability to inspire new voters and high turnout. Another is that Hillary is hated by conservatives enough that she would inspire some Republicans to vote for McCain who might otherwise stay home. Another is Obama's superior organization. Obama would need the Hispanic vote, though. That's why in order to pull this off we'd need a truly united party and people like Bill Richardson campaigning hard in south Texas.
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