Showing posts with label Taiwan China military defense Asia-Pacific. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Taiwan China military defense Asia-Pacific. Show all posts

Sunday, August 3, 2008

A Long Time US Ally Gets Bushwacked

I've been following the freeze of arm sales to Taiwan story since July 18th and have observed that just as in so many other situations where Conservatives are raising their voices asking President Bush to act, he seems to be tone deaf. For an overview of Bush's history of giving into into China see this Bloomberg.com story:

Bush Burnishes China Card for Obama, McCain in Taiwan's Shadow

By Michael Forsythe and Dune Lawrence

Aug. 4 (Bloomberg) -- When Barack Obama or John McCain takes over the presidency in January, he will inherit a stable U.S.-China relationship. Part of the credit will belong to someone who gets few kudos for his foreign-policy initiatives: George W. Bush.

The president, who travels to China for the fourth and last time of his presidency this week to attend the Olympic Games in Beijing, ``leaves a relationship that is basically in good shape,'' says Kenneth Lieberthal, who was director for Asia on the White House National Security Council during Bill Clinton's presidency.

Since taking office 7 1/2 years ago, Bush has personally eased tensions over Taiwan. Henry Paulson, his Treasury secretary, stopped Congress from escalating trade disputes; Robert Zoellick, his former No. 2 diplomat, invited China to play a bigger role internationally. Meanwhile, the administration enlisted China's support to fight terrorism and persuade North Korea to begin dismantling its nuclear program.

China's leaders ``will miss him after he steps down,'' says Shen Dingli, director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University in Shanghai.

Bush will bequeath his successor a base to work from in dealing with a country that owns more than $500 billion in Treasuries, is the top source of U.S. imports and is on track to become the world's second-biggest economy in a decade.

Click here to read the full article.

The following July 31, 2008 letter is a Congressional attempt to get President Bush's attention regarding US commitments made in the Taiwan Relations Act to provide for the defense of Taiwan through arm sales based solely on Taiwan defensive needs:

CTC July 31, 2008 Letter to Bush, p. 1-3
(click on each image to view)
And here's how the story was reported in Taiwan.
Fourteen senators call on Bush to allow arms sales
By Charles Snyder
STAFF REPORTER IN WASHINGTON
Taipei Times Saturday, Aug 02, 2008, Page 3

In another congressional effort to prod US President George W. Bush to unfreeze the sale of major weapons packages to Taiwan, more than two dozen members of the Congressional Taiwan Caucus on Thursday sent Bush a letter urging him to allow the sales to go through.

Spearheaded by caucus co-chairmen Steve Chabot and Shelley Berkley, both of whom conferred with visiting Legislative Yuan Speaker Wang Jin-pyng (王金平) this week, the lawmakers pledged to help the administration process the sales as soon as possible after the White House and State Department lift the freeze.

“We believe the freeze on foreign military sales to Taiwan violates the spirit of the Taiwan Relations Act. We request a briefing on the status of these sales from all appropriate agencies, and urge the administration to expeditiously execute consideration of these requests,” the letter said.

Click here to read the full article.

Since many who read this will not be familiar with Taiwan politics I should point out that the name of the new (as of May 20, 2008) President of Taiwan is Ma Ying-jeou. Knowing that Taiwan's President is named Ma and that his KMT Party blocked all attempts by the Legislative Yuan from 2001 through most of 2007 to purchase defensive weapons authorized by the Bush Administration in 2001, is important to appreciate the title of the article below:
Look, Ma, No Arms
Why is the Bush administration delaying arms sales to Taiwan? by Matthew Continetti The Weekly Standard, 08/04/2008, Volume 013, Issue 44

Early in 2001, President Bush approved the export of arms to democratic Taiwan. At the time, Bush said the United States would do "whatever it takes" to defend its tiny, besieged Pacific ally. That was yesterday. Today, it's looking more like Bush was just kidding.

How else to explain the administration's recent decision to freeze $16 billion worth of the arms deals? Bush approved the sale of Patriot missiles, Apache helicopters, and submarines to Taiwan more than seven years ago. Since then Taiwan has also requested 66 F-16 fighter jets to replace its aging planes. The Taiwanese legislature has appropriated the money with which to buy the weapons. In some cases it has already even put down payments. In return, America has given Taiwan a whole lot of nothing.

On July 16, the head of Pacific Command, Admiral Timothy Keating, told an audience at the Heritage Foundation that the administration has concluded "there is no pressing, compelling need for, at this moment, arms sales to Taiwan of the systems that we're talking about." This must have been news to the Taiwanese government, which says the weapons are needed to defend Taiwan. And it certainly must have been a surprise to the authors of the Pentagon's annual report on Chinese military power, who have for the past several years noted the dangerous shift in the military balance of power between Taiwan and China.

Click here to read the full article.

And if your thinking "so what does it have to do with us", here is one assessment from Ryan Mauro of Worldthreats.com referencing the Look, Ma, No Arms article.

Bush Administration Leaves Taiwan Out to Dry

Read this article to see the changes in the Bush Administration’s second term. It is very unfortunate how the U.S. is freezing the arm sales to Taiwan which were already agreed upon and sometimes, paid for. The Administration may argue that they need China’s help on this or that, finding excuse after excuse to not offend them. But the author is correct: Our approach towards China is based on fear. The longer we don’t recognize that China is on the opposite side, the weaker Taiwan becomes and the greater this danger, which we try so hard to blind ourselves to, becomes.

The Pentagon is warning about Taiwan’s growing vulnerability to China. China is building a huge underground submarine base, has over 1,000 missiles aimed at Taiwan now, and has five submarine programs. The stronger China becomes, and the weaker Taiwan becomes, the more likely it is that China will exercise a military option and act like the very bully we’re trying to stop from being created.

The U.S. is acting like a child running around on a playground, kissing the behind of the school bully and turning away as plans to trip the kid next to him. As we all have learned as kids, sucking up to that bully to avoid becoming that kid he schemes against only delays the inevitable time when he decides you are the next weak person to challenge.

Click here to read the full article.

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Gotcha, KMT!

Reference the following plank from the 2008 Republican Party of Texas Platform:
Taiwan – We urge full recognition of Taiwan with a “One China, One Taiwan Policy.” Being a long-time ally of the United States as well as an independent and sovereign nation, we call upon the President and the U.S. State Department to strongly support the people of Taiwan.
The
International Community Radio Taipei (ICRT) transcript of a 6/26/2008 broadcast in Taiwan shown below is evidence that it is a very good thing that in the Republican Party of Texas Platform Taiwan plank shown above there is no mention of the government of Taiwan (but rather of its people) and why the Bush Administration was foolish to think that a Ma Ying-jeou (KMT) Administration in Taiwan would be better for US and Taiwan security than was the Chen Shui-Bian (DPP) Administration.

Note in the quote below from Joseph Wu that when he says "his government" he means the Chen (DPP) Administration.

TOP PENTAGON OFFICIAL: ‘TAIWAN POLITICS DROVE ARMS FREEZE’
ICRT MDK 6-26-08

S.L. A Top US Defense Department Official has thrown the onus back on Taiwan for the current US arms sale freeze.

ICRT Washington correspondent Matt Kaye reports…

M.K. Just days after a congressional report charged the US freeze on arms sales to Taiwan is two-years—not six-months-old…Assistant Secretary of Defense for Asia and the Pacific—James Shinn—told the House Armed Services Committee:

Shinn: “I don’t believe that we made a decision to put things in abeyance, this was driven—as far as I understand—by Taiwanese domestic politics.”

Former US Ambassador Harvey Feldman says outgoing Taiwan representative here, Joseph Wu, claims the arms freeze is ‘not the policy of his government’. Feldman says the Ma government only wanted a temporary halt during it’s first round of talks with Beijing, which is now over.

O.C. Matt Kaye, ICRT News, Washington

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Why Taiwan is Strategic to Our Security

Taiwan is vital to the US military

By Cheng Ta-chen 鄭大誠

Thursday, Nov 22, 2007, Page 8

The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) stated in its recent annual report to Congress that Taiwan's defense capabilities completely rely on the US and that Taiwan would not be able to withstand an invasion by the People's Liberation Army were it not for US military assistance.

The US should not forget that Taiwan also plays a crucial part in its US Asia-Pacific strategy.

First of all, Taiwan plays an important role as a "pressure point" on the first island chain.

If the US is able to hold Taiwan, it can exert consistent pressure on China through this pressure point.

Similarly, if China were to obtain control over Taiwan, it could exert military pressure on other countries and extend its navy and air forces east of the first island chain.

Therefore, for China, Taiwan is not only a "province that must be unified with the motherland," but also a strategic position for China to break through the first island chain where the US has long carried out its "war of suffocation."

If the US wishes to contain China behind the first island chain, losing Taiwan means losing the battle.

Second, the RAND Corporation has pointed out that large-scale warfare could possibly break out in the future, but the US doesn't have sufficient military capabilities to engage the Middle East, Southwest Asia, the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea and South Asia at the same time.

The US has military forces in East Asia deployed in four crucial locations -- Guam, Japan, the Philippines and South Korea. However, if a cross-strait war broke out, it is very likely that China would pressure the Japanese government to withdraw its military bases -- Yokosuka, Kadena and Atsugi -- from US use.

Although Guam is a US territory, the fact that it is more than 1,300 nautical miles (2,407km) away from the Taiwan Strait makes it unsuitable for effective military operations, transportation and supplies.

As for the US troops stationed in the Philippines and South Korea, a cross-strait war is not within the scope of their capabilities because of other responsibilities. Obviously, apart from aircraft carriers, the ideal military base for the US to fight China in the Taiwan Strait is Taiwan.

The USCC is on the right track when it recommends that Congress encourage the administration of US President George W. Bush to continue working with Taiwan to modernize its military and enhance Taiwan's capabilities for operating jointly with US and allied forces. However, the committee's report doesn't support selling Taiwan advanced weapons and military equipment, such as the F-16C/D fighter. So how do they want Taiwan's military to modernize?

What's more, in order to effectively improve the common warfare capabilities between the US and Taiwan, the military equipment of both countries must be on the same level, and direct bilateral joint drills are also necessary. But apparently the US hasn't seriously considered this issue.

If a cross-strait war broke out, how could the US expect to work well with Taiwan militarily?

Although the US knows Taiwan's military significance perfectly well, it has failed to develop a closer relationship with Taiwan on the issues of bases and defensive military deployments.

All in all, the US stance is self-contradictory. Taiwan is the only US ally that can assist in countering China's "anti-access" strategy or in breaking through the first island chain.

Also, Taiwan is willing to develop a special military relationship with the US in the same way that the UK has. It is high time that the US government seriously reviewed the defects of its Asia-Pacific strategy.

Cheng Ta-chen is an independent defense analyst.

References

USCC website

2007 Report to Congress

2007 Report Introduction

2007 Report Executive Summary

2007 Recommendations to Congress