Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Climate Models Attack Polar Bears


The EPA decided to list the polar bear as 'endangered'
. The threat to polar bears is due to the threat of climate models.

Let me explain. The polar bear population is increasing:

"Although the global population of polar bears has grown from a low of about 12,000 in the late 1960s to approximately 25,000 today, Mr. Kempthorne said government scientists had advised him that computer modeling projects "a significant population decline" by the year 2050."


The polar bear was not listed based on FACTS, it was listed based on MODELS. Fearmongering grew last summer when arctic sea ice melted, but then winter happened. Arctic sea ice is above normal for the past 20 years, indicating no real downtrend in sea ice, meaning no real, proximate or even presumed threat to the polar bears.

The only threat is due to the models that supposedly show fewer polar bears in 40 years. Those models have ALREADY been proven WRONG in projecting temperature. Models are wrong in Antarctica, and models have wrongly predicted
warming for the last 10 years that has not happened
.

Listing the polar bears was unnecessary and wrong. The polar bear cannot conceivably be threatened by anything in nature in terms of its habitat (and sea ice loss, even if it were happening is not such a loss). So what's to blame? The models! Get rid of the wrong and phony models, and the polar bears will live in peace, unmolested.

UPDATE 5/21: Lindzen - the case against climate alarmism. An article that assesses the climate models and finds data that shows water vapor and cloud feebacks are more negative than climate models assume.

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